The
Political End-Times Genre Will Always Be With Us
Garrett Graff has added a new
submission to the political end-times genre. Graff’s ‘America Tips Fascism,’
was posted on August 25, 2025 on his website: ‘Doomsday Scenario’. Graff
castigates all: Trump, the Republicans for supporting him, and the Democrats
for insufficiently opposing him. He also criticizes the media. For example, Graff
wrote: “Saying that our country has tipped over an invisible edge into an
authoritarian state plainly is important—and easier than most in the media and
pundit class will pretend it is.” This is a puzzling critique. If it is relative
“eas[y]” to state that the U.S. is now an authoritarian state, then maybe—just
maybe—it is premature to characterize the U.S. as authoritarian? Similarly, why
is the media’s stating that the U.S. is now an authoritarian state “important”?
One and all know that Trump sent troops into DC. Some think Trump’s policy is wise
and beneficent, and some think otherwise. Will the media’s marching in lockstep,
in order to characterize Trump’s policies as authoritarian change any minds? If
not, how is the media’s doing what Graff urges “important”?
Graff’s claim that the U.S. is now
authoritarian is based on factual claims. But Graff hedges his factual claims.
He consistently leads with “It looks like”. Indeed, rather than plainly stating
uncontroverted facts to support his conclusion, he uses the phrase “It looks
like” seven times. That’s odd.
If the U.S. has just tipped into authoritarianism,
one might think Graff should put forward some practical solutions or even
advice. Of course, one might suggest that he puts forward no solutions to
oppose the alleged authoritarian status quo, because the U.S. has not descended
into authoritarianism. Rather, Graff is just a disappointed party-man whose
party has lost the last election. His party’s loss of power is what has
unnerved him, not the new status quo. You will know the U.S. is authoritarian—when
the President closes the courts absent congressional consent—when the President
cancels the regularly scheduled elections absent congressional consent—when the
President prevents the opposition caucus from entering the legislature—and when
the President orders you to stay in your house against your will and orders you
to take drugs that you do not want to take. Trump-47 has not done these things—so,
Graff’s talk of authoritarianism is, again, somewhat premature.
To use Graff’s phrase: “it looks like”
Graff favors hyperbole over facts and analysis. If Graff really believed his
bold claim, then he would change his lifestyle and advise others to do the
same. If Graff believed what he wrote, then these are some of the things he
would begin to do and to advise others to do:
He would buy a
condominium, bungalow, or timeshare abroad;
He would move a
significant part of his assets into non-U.S.-based financial instruments;
He would move some
significant part of his assets abroad;
He would purchase
some significant amount of foreign currency (e.g., Swiss Francs, Euros,
Canadian Dollars) or other easy to move stores of value (gold, diamonds);
He would prepare an
easy to hide, store, and carry cache of travel and other important personal and
family documents (e.g., passports, birth and marriage certificates, diplomas,
evidence of professional memberships, a current vita, and vaccination and other
medical records);
He would move
abroad, permanently or temporarily, until the U.S. situation is favorably
resolved;
He would maintain
and seek to develop personal and family, religious, charitable, and
professional contacts abroad that could be helpful if starting a new life
outside the United States;
He would explore
where abroad he (and other family members) have a right to work or could obtain
a work permit in short order;
He would take on, or,
at least, explore the possibility of dual citizenship;
If he already holds
citizenship in a foreign country, he would explore to whom by marriage, birth,
or otherwise he can legally share or transmit that foreign citizenship to—or
otherwise share the benefits and protections of such foreign citizenship;
He would make
plans, or, at least, explore where he can visit and/or settle abroad, with what
identification and travel documents, and, most importantly, prepare contingency
plans for quickly and quietly exiting the U.S. (i.e., by air, sea, train, bus,
or automobile);
He would make efforts
to learn a widely-spoken foreign language; and,
He would buy a gun
and start taking shooting lessons.
Graff
tells us that he “fear[s] that America’s trajectory feels ... like Berlin
circa 1933.” But if the U.S. is now akin to “Berlin circa 1933,” then he would
be doing, at least, some of the things suggested above, and urging his family,
friends, and professional colleagues to do the same. And he would advise his
readers to do the same. This he has not done. And from that, I conclude that
his “Berlin circa 1933” statement was simply hyperbole, virtue signaling, and TDS.
Seth
Seth Barrett Tillman, ‘The Political End-Times Genre Will Always Be With Us,’ New Reform Club (Aug. 26, 2025, 3:00 PM), <https://reformclub.blogspot.com/2025/08/the-political-end-times-genre-will.html>;
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