Mensch tracht, un Gott lacht

Saturday, December 07, 2024

Trump-47 and the Future of the Federal Judiciary (UPDATED)

 

As things now stand, it looks like Trump-47 will start his administration with some 37 Article III judicial vacancies. This assumes that all 14 of Biden’s current nominees are seated before January 20, 2025. See <https://www.uscourts.gov/judges-judgeships/judicial-vacancies/current-judicial-vacancies>, and, <https://www.uscourts.gov/judges-judgeships/judicial-vacancies/future-judicial-vacancies>. If all 14 of these Biden nominees to federal judicial posts fail to secure Senate advice and consent in the days ahead, then those positions will likely be filled by Trump-47. Albeit, some of these judges might retract: their resignations, their intent to resign, or their decision to take senior status. (In fact, since the election, two Article III judges have retracted their decision to take senior status.) If none of these 14 Biden nominees secure Senate advice and consent, and there are no such retractions, then Trump will have 51 Article III positions to fill at the start of his administration. 

 

It is also likely that any number of sitting federal judges will resign or take senior status in the days, weeks, and months ahead: that follow January 3, 2025, when the Senate flips to the Republicans, and that follow January 20, 2025, when the Biden administration ends. It is difficult to say how many judges will do so. Under the assumption that Trump-45 federal judicial appointees remain in office, should Trump-47 appoint as many federal judges as Trump-45 appointed, and that is possible,** Trump will end his (second) presidential term having appointed more than half the federal judiciary, and also, possibly, more than half of the U.S. Supreme Court. 

 

Eight years will do that. And then there is Vance.

 

Seth Barrett Tillman, ‘Trump-47 and the Future of the Federal Judiciary (UPDATE),’ New Reform Club (Dec. 7, 2024, 3:09 PM) (Updated Dec. 9, 2024), <https://reformclub.blogspot.com/2024/12/trump-47-and-future-of-federal-judiciary.html>;

See also: Seth Barrett Tillman, ‘Senate Confirms 17 BIDEN-nominated Judges Since the Election (UPDATE),’ New Reform Club (Nov. 7, 2024, 6:56 AM) (Updated Dec. 9, 2024), <https://reformclub.blogspot.com/2024/11/trump-45-v-biden-federal-judicial.html>; 


**It is possible, in part, because during the 119th Senate, the Senate will have a Republican majority. Whether the 120th Senate will have a Republican majority is a different matter.

Sunday, December 01, 2024

In Remembrance of P.J. O’Rourke: Let’s Make a List


Which, if any or all, of these things (most) helped to elect Trump?

  • Mainstream / legacy media
  • Media’s normalization of foreign! gangs’ committing crimes in the U.S.
  • Media’s normalization of Biden’s continuing presidency until January 20, 2025, although he was not well enough to run for a second term as President
  • Media’s characterization of (every) political disagreement as a crisis
  • Media’s characterization of every crisis” as an “existential crisis
  • Media’s characterizing every person who disagrees about the scope of a purported “existential crisis,” or how it is best addressed, as a denier
  • Academia
  • Legal academia
  • Citizens for Responsibility and Ethics in Washington (CREW)
  • Constitutional Accountability Center and other CREW wannabes
  • Universities’ adopting partisan political positions
  • Universities’ failing to protect traditional expressive and association rights
  • Civil rights & civil liberties organizations’ failing: to support those holding minority political opinions and to support minorities’ traditional expressive and association rights
  • Criminal Defense bar’s sudden lack of interest in the U.S. Constitution’s Sixth Amendment (as incorporated against the States), jury unanimity rights, and Apprendi and its progeny
  • Never Trump Republicans
  • Cheney-the-Elder & Cheney-the-Younger
  • Take Care Blog
  • Lawfare Blog
  • Russia Collusion Hoax/Mueller investigation
  • Foreign Emoluments Clause & Domestic (Presidential) Emoluments Clause cases
  • Ukraine telephone call impeachment
  • January-6-events impeachment
  • Special Counsel Jack Smith
  • New York Attorney General Letitia James (ADDED)
  • New York (Manhattan) District Attorney Alvin Bragg
  • Georgia (Fulton County) District Attorney Fani Willis
  • Section-3 ballot-access cases
  • Professional commentariat: e.g., former U.S. prosecutors and former judges—state and federal
  • Professional commentariats’ endless predictions which failed to materialize
  • Swatting political opponents
  • Stealing opponents’ political posters and otherwise defacing and destroying private property to advance political causes
  • Defacing and destroying public property and museum exhibits to advance political causes
  • Endorsements from actors and musicians
  • Debanking clients based on political association and speech
  • Regulators’ encouraging banks to debank clients based on: political association, political speech, and/or policy goals unrelated to the agency’s stated mission
  • Killing Peanut (the squirrel) and killing Fred (the raccoon)
  • And, those who sought to normalize any or all of the above

And post-election confirmation—explaining election losses by way of racism, misogyny, and low-information voters.

And will ANY of them take ANY responsibility for their “success”?

Honorable mentions:

  • Those who endlessly parroted: “The walls are closing in”
  • Podcasts and podcasters boldly and confidently predicting a Harris-Walz win (ADDED)
  • All those entertainers who threatened to emigrate should Trump win the election
  • All those entertainers who threatened to emigrate should Trump win the election, but (unexpectedly) have remained in the United States
  • Those pollsters and party operatives who depended on the Taylor Swift vote
  • Michael Avenatti and those who promoted and praised him
  • Michael Cohen and those who promoted and praised him
  • Hunter Biden laptop story and the response of the media, current and former intelligence agency heads, and other so-called “experts,” including academics and former prosecutors on blogs, on other social media, and those writing opinion editorials
  • Bar organizations which and judges!! who sought to control attorneys non-professional and other out-of-court activities and speech
  • Pollsters and other “experts” who, pre-election, expressed confidence (if not near certitude) of a Harris-Walz national popular vote victory!!! and/or electoral vote landslide!!!!
  • Pollsters and other “experts” who, pre-election, expressed confidence (if not near certitude) of Harris-Walzs prevailing in Iowa!!!!!
  • Nobel Peace Prize selection committee
  • Foreign political leaders who injected themselves into the U.S. political process
  • Those who sought to normalize foreign political leaders’ injecting themselves into the U.S. political process
  • And, those who sought to normalize any or all of the above


Seth Barrett Tillman, In Remembrance of P.J. O’Rourke: Let’s Make a List,’ New Reform Club (Dec. 1, 2024, 2:34 AM), <https://reformclub.blogspot.com/2024/12/in-remembrance-of-pj-orourke-lets-make.html>; 

See also: Seth Barrett Tillman, Who Was On The Remain Side?, New Reform Club (Jan. 18, 2019, 7:32 AM), <https://reformclub.blogspot.com/2019/01/who-was-on-remain-side.html>; 

See also: Emperor Tiberius to Caligula: “You and I will draw up a list during dinner. A long list.” Robert Graves’ “I, Claudius” (1934); 

 


Monday, November 25, 2024

The Law of the Case (II) and the Next Steps

United States v. Trump, Case No. 9:23-cr-80101-AMC, 2024 WL 3404555, 2024 U.S. Dist. LEXIS 123552, --- F. Supp. 3d ---- (S.D. Fla. July 15, 2024) (Cannon, J.), ECF No. 672, <https://tinyurl.com/hk4z7e76>, <https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/67490070/united-states-v-trump/>, appeal dismissed in regard to Defendant Trump (11th Cir. Nov. 26, 2024), ECF No. 81, <https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/68955302/united-states-v-donald-trump/>.


On November 25, 2024, Special Counsel Jack Smith filed a motion to dismiss in both the 11th Circuit case and in the United States District Court for the District of Columbia case. See ECF No. 79 (motion); ECF No. 81 (motion granted). Judge Cannons Southern District of Florida decision—dismissing the case based on Smithunconstitutional appointment and ultra vires appropriations made to Smith—is now the law of the case. It is good, persuasive precedent—albeit, not binding precedent. If the DOJ/Special Counsel had any inhibition relating to dismissal and leaving Judge Cannons final order and opinion as good, persuasive case law, then that inhibition now appears to be long gone.

Special Counsel Smith has had a full and fair opportunity to provebefore the trial court and now on appealthat he was lawfully appointed and lawfully compensated. He failed to establish those specific points in court. As a result, the DOJ may and (in my opinion) should sue for return of illegal salary paid by the U.S. Treasury to Smith and his staff (that is, those not otherwise employed at DOJ). Special Counsel Smith failed to prove that the documents seized by the FBI at Mar-a-Lago belong to the U.S. government or any of its agencies. Trump should move, and if necessary sue, for return of all his files taken by the FBI at Mar-a-Lago.


Seth Barrett Tillman, The Law of the Case (II) and the Next Steps,’ New Reform Club (Nov. 25, 2024, 15:13 PM), <https://reformclub.blogspot.com/2024/11/the-law-of-case-ii.html>; 

**Of course, the above assumes that the 11th Circuit dismisses, in short order, as requested by the Special Counsel. (Defendant Trump did not object to the Special Counsels motion to dismiss.)


Thursday, November 21, 2024

Jack Smith’s Pending Eleventh Circuit Case Against President-Elect Trump: Why the Delay?

 


 

Jack Smith lost before Judge Cannon (United States District Court for the Southern District of Florida), and subsequently, Smith appealed Judge Cannon’s final order to the United States Court of Appeals for the Eleventh Circuit. Smith’s opening brief and Trump’s opposition brief, as well as amici supporting each side, were all filed before the November 5, 2024 presidential election. Smith’s reply brief was due November 15, 2024. Smith never filed that reply. Instead, he asked for an extension to file his reply and to reconsider his position in light of new circumstances. Smith requested an extension until Monday, December 2, 2024. The extension was granted.

Leaving aside whether or not the Special Counsel and his office should have been prepared to move forward in a timely manner in the event of either a Trump victory or loss in the election, one might ask: Why does Smith need nearly a full calendar month to figure out what his (and, implicitly, the DOJ’s) position is?

I have refrained from commenting on this issue for a variety of reasons. First, I have filed an amicus brief on the merits of this litigation, and it might look like overreach to speculate on the motives of the Special Counsel, particularly, when doing so in public and not in court filings. Second, I am not a DOJ alum, and I have no inside information about the conversations taking place among Smith and his subordinates, among the AG and his senior colleagues, and the conversations between Smith’s group and the AG’s group. But I have had some thoughts. And recently I came across a November 6, 2024 Lawfare episode in line with my own thinking. From Benjamin Wittes et al., ‘Lawfare Live: What Does a Second Trump Term Look Like?,’ Lawfare (Nov. 6, 2024, 10:27 AM) (at 2:05–4:03):


Scott R. Anderson: Our operational thesis, with the understanding that this is pretty unprecedented territory, and there is not a lot of hard law guiding it …. is that once you get to the point where you have somebody who is being criminally prosecuted or who has been convicted, and they become acting President and, in particular, perhaps, President-elect to some degree as well, all of a sudden you have a real conflict of legal principles between the federal government drive to the fact you need a functional and operational President, and nothing about being indicted or being charged or convicted in anyway disqualifies anyone from being President, in fact, probably, constitutionally, it cannot, except maybe, if it was tied to Section 3 of the 14th Amendment…. which none of the statutes he has been charged/prosecuted under have been are.

 

….

 

You have to reconcile this need to have a federal presidential principle that the President is operational and functional and that could be in tension with state law and with other principles like the administration of justice.

 

….

 

Essentially, that the state charges are the more complicated ones. The federal charges are likely to just go away. We are already seeing reports that Jack Smith and the Justice Department are working to find a way to wind down those charges. There is a complication in the [Eleventh Circuit] Mar-a-Lago case. As they [Smith and the DOJ] particularly don’t like the current ruling by Judge Cannon that gets right at the matter on the basis of [Defendants’] Appointments Clause argument relating to Jack Smith’s appointment. They don’t want to have precedent around that lingering around although district court opinions are not precedent. They don’t want to have a bad opinion about that loitering around. But they still want to have an orderly wind down of those cases because the Justice Department has a long-standing position that you cannot prosecute a sitting President. And that would be consistent with that.

Generally, I agree with Scott Anderson. Smith’s delay in filing his reply (or any other papers) may be caused by the fact that although DOJ wishes to make the Mar-a-Lago prosecution come to a close, the DOJ does not want Cannon’s opinion to remain good case law. Why is it good case law? Because, at this juncture, Cannon’s decision has not been vacated or reversed. That said: Anderson is clearly wrong in asserting that a federal district court opinion is not a precedent. Certainly, it is not a binding precedent. It is not even binding in the Southern District of Florida among other judges in that district. But it is a precedent, and it carries persuasive force based on how future judges find its reasoning sound. If Anderson were correct, if Cannon’s decision was not precedential at all, then the powers that be in DOJ would be unconcerned in leaving Cannon’s decision as it now stands.

 

Seth Barrett Tillman, ‘Jack Smith’s Pending Eleventh Circuit Case Against President-Elect Trump: Why the Delay?,’ New Reform Club (Nov. 21, 2024, 6:53 AM), <https://reformclub.blogspot.com/2024/11/jack-smiths-pending-eleventh-circuit.html>;

Wednesday, November 13, 2024

Philly. Hoagie. Done Right.

The Perfect Philly Provolone Hoagie



How to Make a Proper Philly Hoagie: A Step-by-Step Guide 

  1. Choosing the Right Roll: Make sure to use a fresh, crusty Italian hoagie roll with a slight crust on the outside. It should be sturdy enough to hold all the fillings but soft enough to bite through comfortably.      
  2. Scooping the RollScooping out some of the inner bread from the bottom half of the roll is a great tip to prevent sogginess and create more space for the fillings. However, it's also common to scoop out both the top and bottom halves of the roll to maximize the filling-to-bread ratio and prevent the sandwich from becoming too bready.
  3. Adding Condiments: Drizzling olive oil and red wine vinegar onto the bottom half of the roll is a classic Philly hoagie technique. Or prepare in advance a dressing of red wine vinegar, olive oil and oregano, letting it sit long enough the rehydrate the oregano. Lightly seasoning with salt and freshly cracked black pepper is perfect. Adding a thin layer of mayo on the top half of the roll is optional but adds a nice creaminess.
  4. Layering the Meats: Capicola, Genoa salami or Hot soppressata, Mortadella and some ham are great choices for deli meats. Prosciutto if you want to upscale it a little. Folding or crumpling the meats slightly helps keep the sandwich from becoming too flat. Adding thin slices of provolone cheese on top of the meats is a must for that melty, cheesy goodness. Most important: Layer the meats in order of spiciness, mildest last: Capicola, Salami, Mortadella, Ham [if any], Cheese.                
  5. Adding Fresh Veggies: Shredded iceberg lettuce and thinly sliced onions are essential for a fresh crunch. Soaking the onions in cold water to tone down their sharpness is a good tip, or use white or red onions instead. Adding hot or sweet peppers is optional but adds a nice kick. Thinly sliced tomatoes are acceptable but not mandatory.
  6. Cherry Pepper Spread: Cento Cherry Pepper Spread is a fantastic addition for a bolder flavor punch. You can spread it on the bottom half of the roll along with the oil and vinegar or layer it on top of the meats. Go very easy on the spread as it can easily overpower the meats and cheese.
  7. Topping the Sandwich: Closing the hoagie with the top half of the roll and gently pressing down to help all the layers meld together is key. If you like mayo, it should be on this half.

Key Tips for a Perfect Philly Hoagie:

·    Scooping the bread helps prevent sogginess and creates room for more fillings.

·    Oil and vinegar go on the bottom, not mixed with the veggies like a salad dressing, for the best texture. The hoagie doesn't get soggy, even a day later!

·    Mayo goes on top (if desired), so it doesn’t interfere with the classic oil-vinegar combo and keeps the sandwich from getting too messy.

Cherry Pepper Hoagie Spread - Cento

Sunday, November 10, 2024

What Happened in the States?: State Legislatures and Governorships (UPDATED)

 


 

Some results are still trickling in. And some state legislative races are not yet final—subject to final tally, recount, and judicial review. But such races are the exception. Most results are in. You can find results reported here: 

BEFORE NOVEMBER 2024 ELECTION

<https://documents.ncsl.org/wwwncsl/About-State-Legislatures/Legis_Control_2024_10-18-24_Adam%20Kuckuk.pdf> (dated 18-Oct-2024);

AFTER NOVEMBER 2024 ELECTION

<https://documents.ncsl.org/wwwncsl/Elections/LegisControl_2024_Post%20Election_Prelim.pdf> (dated 8-Nov-2024); 

 

Before the 2024 election: the partisan split among governors was 27R/23D. There were 11 governor’s races, and no changes in partisan control. Thus the split remained 27R/23D.

 

The partisan composition of the state legislative houses saw some change. The analysis here looks to the 49 states with bicameral chambers, and excludes Nebraska’s unicameral non-partisan chamber. At play are 98 chambers (49 * 2) and some 7,386 state legislative seats.

 

Prior to the election, in terms of legislative seats, the composition was:

 

4020 Rs        3250 Ds        116 other (other parties, independents, and vacancies)

 

After the November 5, 2024 election, the composition appears to be:

 

          4081 Rs        3237 Ds        68 other (other parties, independents, and vacancies)

 

That’s a small shift, 61 seats, to the Rs—from the D column and from the other column. The Rs gained 14 state senate seats and 47 state house seats. The Rs continue to have about 55% of all state legislative seats nationally. Most state legislative chambers saw 5 or fewer seats change from R to D or D to R. Notable exceptions beyond 5 seats include:

  • Maine House—Rs gain 7 seats, and shift from D control to divided control (75D, 74R, 2 other);
  • Montana House—Ds gain 9 seats, but Rs continue to control; 
  • New Hampshire House—Rs gain 16 seats, and Rs continue to control; 
  • Vermont Senate—Rs gain 6 seats, but Ds continue to control; 
  • Vermont House—Rs gain 22 seats, but Ds continue to control; 
  • Wisconsin Senate—Ds gain 6 seats, but Rs continue to control (with a 1-seat majority); and,
  • Wisconsin House—Ds gain 11 seats, but Rs continue to control.

All the most significant R gains were in legislative chambers in New England—i.e., Maine, New Hampshire, and Vermont

 

In terms of chambers, prior to the election, the composition was:

 

57 majority-R chambers     41 majority-D chambers     0 tie-or-no-majority chambers

 

After the November 5, 2024 election, the composition appears to be:

 

57 majority-R chambers     38 majority-D chambers     3 tie-or-no-majority chambers

 

What chambers changed?

  • Alaska House* shift from R-control to divided control (20R, 15D, 5 other); 
  • Maine House shift from D control to divided control (75D, 74R, 2 other);
  • Michigan House shift from D-control to R-control; and, 
  • Minnesota House** shift from from D-control to D-R tie (67-to-67). 

The Republicans’ (Rs’) picking up one state legislative chamber (MICHIGAN HOUSE) along with loss of one state legislative chamber to divided control (ALASKA HOUSE) only, at best, shows moderate success ... unless one takes for granted that the Rs started this election at, or nearly at their, natural” political peak leaving little room for improvement by gaining seats or control of chambers. By contrast, the Ds arguably did worse—losing control of 3 state legislative chambers (MAINE HOUSE, MICHIGAN HOUSE, and MINNESOTA HOUSE). The loss of the MINNESOTA HOUSE with Walz on the national ticket is hardly a sign of political success by the Ds. 

And in the territories? Guams unicameral legislature shifted from D-control to R-control (from 9D-to-6R to 7D-to-8R). Puerto Rico’s two legislative chambers both flipped from the PDP to the NPPthe latter is more aligned with the national Republican Party than is the former. 


See generally Wendy Underhill, ‘Election Outcomes: Status Quo in the States Despite GOP Gains in DC,’ National Conference of State Legislatures (Nov. 8, 2024), <https://www.ncsl.org/state-legislatures-news/details/election-outcomes-status-quo-in-the-states-despite-gop-gains-in-dc>;

 

Seth Barrett Tillman, ‘What Happened in the States?: State Legislatures and Governorships (UPDATED),’ New Reform Club (Nov. 10, 2024, 3:21 AM) (updated Nov. 11, 2024), <https://reformclub.blogspot.com/2024/11/what-happened-in-states-state.html>; 


*Alaska results are not yet final—including initial counts and subsequent counts under ranked choice voting, recounts, judicial review, etc. Furthermore, ranked choice voting extends the process and time period to count votes.

**It could be argued that the Minnesota Senate flipped from divided control (33D-to-33R, with 1 vacancy) to D (official DFL party) control (34D-to-33R). The National Conference of State Legislatures does not classify this as a change of control, perhaps because, prior to the November 2024 election, the Ds (DFLs) had already organized the chamber, and also because, prior to the November 2024 election, the Ds (DFLs) had already chosen a D (DFL) president, pro tempore, and majority leader. 


Thursday, November 07, 2024

Senate Confirms 17 BIDEN-nominated Judges Since the Election (UPDATE)

                                                           FEDERAL JUDICIAL APPOINTMENTS RECORD

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            BIDEN

                                       TRUMP-45        BIDEN (11/5)       BIDEN (12/09/2024)* NOMINEES

Supreme Court of the U.S.:             3                            1                                  1

U.S. Courts of Appeals:                 54                          44                                45                          4

U.S. District Courts:                    174                        166                              181                        10

U.S. Court of Int’l Trade:                3                            2                                  2

ARTICLE III TOTAL               234                        213                              229


Article I Specialty Courts:             26                          16                                17

Article IV Territorial Courts:           1                            1                                  1

 

Total Judicial Positions:            261                        230                              247                         14


In the weeks since the November 5, 2024 election, the U.S. Senate has confirmed 17 Biden nominees for federal judicial appointments. This includes 1 Article III appellate judge, 15 Article III district court judges, and 1 Article I judge. President Biden’s number of lame duck appointments exceeds the 14 “midnight” appointments made by President John Adams. Adams’ record of 14 midnight appointments (to then newly created judicial posts) is now being used as a how-to guide. (The Senate confirmed some 19 Trump-45 nominees during Trump’s lame duck period, including 14 Article III judges, and 5 Article I judges.)


There are 874 authorized Article III judicial posts. Both Trump-45 and Biden have appointed more than 25% of the number of authorized posts. More than half the Article III judicial positions were filled during the last 8 years!

Currently, it appears that Trump-45 made more federal judicial appointments than Biden has made (to date). And, at this juncture, December 9, 2024, there are 48 federal judicial vacancies** to Article III courts, with 14 Biden nominees’ confirmations pending before the U.S. Senate. See <https://www.uscourts.gov/judges-judgeships/judicial-vacancies/current-judicial-vacancies>, and, <https://www.uscourts.gov/judges-judgeships/judicial-vacancies/future-judicial-vacancies>. 

The lame duck U.S. Senate and Joe Biden, the lame duck U.S. President, might now push forward, and so it is possible that over the course of the next several weeks Bidens record might (further) improve and equal (or, possibly, even surpass) Trump-45s record for judicial appointments. There is also the less likely possibility of Biden’s submitting additional and entirely new nomineeseven at this late juncture. Interestingly, after the November 5, 2024 election, Biden nominated two individuals to federal district court positions.

The Senate is NOT scheduled to meet in January prior to January 3, 2025, when the new Congress convenes. As of MondayDecember 9, 2024, the Senate is scheduled to meet only today and during the next 9 business days in December. That is a total of 10 business days. See <https://www.senate.gov/legislative/resources/pdf/2024_calendar.pdf>. As things now stand, these 10 business days are Biden’s only really opportunity to secure advice and consent for his remaining (unconfirmed) nominees. 

(source: Wikipedia

 

Seth Barrett Tillman, ‘Senate Confirms 17 BIDEN-nominated Judges Since the Election (UPDATE),’ New Reform Club (Nov. 7, 2024, 6:56 AM) (Updated Dec. 9, 2024), <https://reformclub.blogspot.com/2024/11/trump-45-v-biden-federal-judicial.html>;

See also: Seth Barrett Tillman, ‘Trump-47 and the Future of the Federal Judiciary (UPDATE),’ New Reform Club (Dec. 7, 2024, 3:09 PM) (Updated Dec. 9, 2024), <https://reformclub.blogspot.com/2024/12/trump-47-and-future-of-federal-judiciary.html>;

Note: the U.S. Court of International Trade is an Article III court.

*I am including positions where the Senate has confirmed a Biden nominee, but the President has not formally appointed that person. I expect the appointments will be made imminently. 

**As vacancies, I am counting current vacancies, and also future vacancies which will take effect on or prior to January 20, 2025 (that is, while Biden remains President) and also any vacancy marked TBD” in the www.uscourts.gov website. There are 4 such TBD” vacancies. President Biden has submitted a nominee for each such TBD”-position. If Biden can shepherd these 4 nominees through during the remainder of the Senate’s session and his presidential term, along with his other 10 remaining nominees replacing judges who have announced pre-January-20-2024 vacancy dates, then Biden will have appointed the same number of Justices/judges Trump-45 appointed. It seems that in order for Biden to surpass Trump-45’s record, Biden will have to nominate further candidates to vacant judicial positions. And, of course, extant positions could become vacant in the days remaining to Biden’s administration. 

 

Wednesday, November 06, 2024

This Time, Trump Stops The Steal



As they say in North Dallas Forty, seeing through the game is not the same as winning the game. If there was one, I think The Steal in 2020 was thousands of little nods and winks and rule-bendings by Democrat election officials, not some grand conspiracy. Trump and the GOP did much better this time, setting up a TEAM that was prepared for all chicanery. He'll finish with about the same number of votes as 2020, and Kamala will have got 10 million less than Biden. So yes, Biden might have got millions of fake or invalid votes, and better preparation by the GOP scared the Dems off from repeating The Steal. But we will never know. I never bought into The Steal. In the least Trump neither headed it off or proved it. Like when he said McCain wasn't a hero just for getting his plane shot down and getting captured, anyone who gets cheated is still a loser. Politics is a dirty game and he was too lazy and vain to prevent it. But not this time.

Tuesday, October 29, 2024

Trump v Anderson (2024)—A Curiosity


Dear Friend, 

One of the curiosities of the recently decided Trump v. Anderson (the ballot-access Trump-related Section-3-of-the-Fourteenth Amendment case) was that the per curiam opinion stated:

Th[e] [Enforcement] Act [of 1870] authorized federal district attorneys to bring civil actions in federal court to remove anyone holding nonlegislative officefederal or statein violation of Section 3, and made holding or attempting to hold office in violation of Section 3 a federal crime. §§14, 15, 16 Stat. 143–144 (repealed, 35 Stat. 1153–1154 [1909], 62 Stat. 992–993 [1948]). 

[601 U.S. 100, 114; slip op. at 10 (emphasis added).]

The problem is that the per curiam opinion asserts that Sections 14 to 16 of the 1870 federal statute were repealed by one or more subsequent federal statutes, but the pages cited for the repealing statute(s) 35 Stat. 115354 (1909) and 62 Stat. 992993 (1948) list scores of statutes in an extensive list and in an extensive table. So the public (including me) does not know which statute(s) repealed Sections 14 to 16. I do not believe any of the Justices law clerks found the reported repealing statute(s)law clerks do not have this level of detailed expertise. I expect it was staff, maybe at the library? Any idea who I can ask?

My query does NOT involve any impending litigation. 

Thank you, 

Seth 

Trump v. Anderson, U.S. Sup. Ct. No. 23-719, 2024 WL 8992072024 U.S. LEXIS 1190144 S. Ct. 662601 U.S. 100 (U.S. Mar. 4, 2024) (per curiam), <https://supremecourt.gov/opinions/slipopinion/23>, <https://www.supremecourt.gov/search.aspx?filename=/docket/docketfiles/html/public/23-719.html>; 

 

Seth Barrett Tillman, Trump v Anderson (2024)—A Curiosity,’ New Reform Club (Oct. 29, 2024, 5:44 AM), <https://reformclub.blogspot.com/2024/10/trump-v-anderson-2024a-curiosity.html>; 



Wednesday, October 02, 2024

On Winning Debates

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I remember a trial lawyer roundtable on Court TV in the early days of cable, F. Lee Bailey, Johnnie Cochran, and the flamboyant Gerry Spence. Spence told of his first trial, where he ripped the other side's witnesses up one side and down the other. Total annihilation.


The jury came back against him. Incredulous, Spence got a chance to chat up one of the jurors--I won 17 ways to next Sunday, how on earth could I lose??
The juror replied, Why did you make us hate you? Spence said it was the greatest lesson he ever learned, one they didn't teach in law school.
Vance came in with huge poll negatives, well underwater, the result of months of trashing by the Democrat media slime machine. Job One was not to destroy the avuncular Tim Walz, but to sell himself. Indeed, instead of leaping for Walz's throat, he passed up a gimme and used his first statement to "introduce himself" to the American people.
Although he won conclusively on the issues, his real victory was having Walz eating out of his hand by the end instead of coming off like the monster the Dems had made him out to be. And managed to put the biased "moderators" in their place too, without leaving himself open to the charge of bullying women.
Regardless of who they said "won," the quickie polls had his favorable/unfavorable numbers in the black. The Trump/Vance ticket hardly needed more points for aggressiveness. Had he destroyed Uncle Tim Walz, any debate victory would have been Pyrrhic.