Tradition is not the worship of ashes, but the preservation of fire.—Gustav Mahler

Wednesday, January 29, 2025

Trump-47 Judicial Vacancies and Trump-47 Judicial Nominations (UPDATED)



At the start of Trump-47, on January 20, 2025, there were 45 federal judicial vacancies—all were Article III vacancies.

There are now 53 federal judicial vacancies, including, 52 Article III positions, one Article I position (USDC for the DISTRICT of the VIRGIN ISLANDS). 

There are 874 authorized Article III federal judicial positions, with 53 Article III vacancies, amounting to a 6% vacancy rate.

To date, Trump-47 has sent ZERO nominations to fill vacant federal judicial positions to the U.S. Senate.


                                        Feb 15, 2025 vacancies            Feb 15, 2025 Trump-47 nominations

US Supreme Court --                    0                                   0

US Federal Circuit Courts --        4                                    0

US Federal District Courts --     48                                    0

Article I Courts --                         1*                                  0

Total --                                        53                                    0


Vacancies include current and future vacancies as reported: current, <https://www.uscourts.gov/data-news/judicial-vacancies/current-judicial-vacancies>, and future <https://www.uscourts.gov/data-news/judicial-vacancies/future-judicial-vacancies>. 

Seth Barrett Tillman, Trump-47 Judicial Vacancies and Trump-47 Judicial Nominations,’ New Reform Club (Jan. 29, 2025, 3:14 AM) (UPDATED), <https://reformclub.blogspot.com/2025/01/trump-47-judicial-vacancies-and.html>; 



Tuesday, January 28, 2025

How My Most Recent Publication Ends

It is said that at the negotiations at Appomattox Courthouse—Lee and Grant were both frank and civil during the course of negotiating the surrender of Lee’s Army of Northern Virginia. Afterwards, Grant sent food to Lee to feed his (and, then, their) nation’s former enemy soldiers. Celebrations for Grant’s soldiers came only later—not while Lee’s soldiers remained present. Again, when the order of battle had ended, the first step towards national reconciliation was frank and civil discourse.

I do not think our present and future is or will be as difficult as was Grant and Lee’s. But we too have to think about national reconciliation. It seems to me that the first steps in that direction involve frank and civil discussion, absent hyperbole, and absent name calling. If federal and state judges and legal academics are not up to that task, then that is just another institutional and cultural problem crying out for reform. Likewise, our domestic law schools are supported by taxes, tuition, and donations. If universities and academics only further burden American society by casting aside our free speech traditions and actively engaging in just another front in our culture wars, then wider society might very well choose to withhold support. Perhaps this process has already begun? 


Seth Barrett Tillman, How My Most Recent Publication Ends,’ New Reform Club (Jan. 28, 2025, 11:09 AM), <https://reformclub.blogspot.com/2025/01/how-my-most-recent-publication-ends.html>;

Thursday, January 23, 2025

Tuesday, January 21, 2025

Part II—Professor Shugerman (et al) vs. Professor Prakash (et al)

 

In my prior New Reform Club post, I wrote:

[Professor] Shugerman has taken the position that Prakash has seriously erred—i.e., that Prakash’s interpretations have been wrong all along, and that he (Shugerman) has demonstrated that wrongness, and that Prakash has refused to retract or to sufficiently respond. For this alleged wrong, Shugerman put forward:

If “originalism” is a serious academic enterprise, are there any consequences for originalist scholarship that repeatedly misused, misrepresented, or made false claims about the historical record?

…. Is there accountability for originalists who make false historical claims?

Jed Shugerman, The Misuse of Ratification-Era Documents by Unitary Executive Theorists, Mich. J. L. Reform (2025) (last revised on SSRN on Jan. 10, 2025) (manuscript at 25), <https://ssrn.com/abstract=5070241>; id. at 1 (same).

Now, a new version of Shugerman’s Michigan Journal of Legal Reform draft article has been posted on SSRN, with a January 21, 2025 date. In this version, on the very last page of his draft, Shugerman states:

 

*An earlier version of this essay asked an open-ended question: “If originalism is a serious academic enterprise, are there consequences for originalist scholarship that repeatedly misused, misrepresented, or made false claims about the historical record?” In listening to critics and feedback, I acknowledge it is premature to ask this question. [Shugerman, manuscript at page 24]

 

Who the critics were and what their feedback was is not stated.

 

As to Jed Handelsman Shugerman & Ors, Presidential Revisionism, Slate (July 17, 2017, 5:42 PM), <http://tinyurl.com/y7qaabr4>. I see no update to this publication at all. A cheeky person might ask:

If historical research is a serious academic enterprise … are there any consequences ….

But I am not so cheeky.

 

Seth Barrett Tillman, ‘Part II—Professor Shugerman (et al) vs. Professor Prakash (et al),New Reform Club (Jan. 21, 2025, 6:48 AM), <https://reformclub.blogspot.com/2025/01/part-iiprofessor-shugerman-et-al-vs.html>;

Seth Barrett Tillman, ‘Professor Shugerman (et al) vs. Professor Prakash (et al),’ New Reform Club (Jan. 17, 2025, 9:28 AM), <https://reformclub.blogspot.com/2025/01/professor-shugerman-et-al-vs-professor.html>;

Monday, January 20, 2025

They Say It Is 1933?

 

They say it is 1933.

If they believed what they have said, then …

 

[i] Have they bought a condominium, bungalow, or timeshare abroad?;

[ii] Have they moved SOME of their assets into non-U.S.-based financial instruments?;

[iii] Have they moved SOME of their assets abroad?;

[iv] Have they purchased any foreign currency (e.g., Swiss Francs, Euros, Canadian Dollars) for use in the coming emergency?;

[v] Have they prepared an easy to hide, store, and carry cache of travel and other important personal and family documents (e.g., passports, birth and marriage certificates, diplomas, evidence of bar and other professional memberships, a current vita, and vaccination and other medical records)?;

[vi] Have they physically moved abroad, permanently or temporarily (until the U.S. situation is clarified)?;

[vii] Have they maintained and sought to develop family and other personal, religious and charitable, and professional contacts abroad that could be helpful in an emergency?; 

[viii] Have they, at the very least, explored becoming dual citizens?;

[ix] Have they, at the very least, explored where they can visit and/or settle abroad, with what identification and travel documents, and, most importantly, how quickly they can escape the U.S. authorities (i.e., by air, sea, train, bus, or automobile)?; 

[x] And, importantly, have they, at the very least, explored where abroad they, and other family members, have a right to work or could obtain a work permit in short order?;

[xi] Andjust one morehave they bought a gun, and started taking shooting lessons? 

If the answer to each and every question above is “no,” then they do not believe it is 1933. It is just all talk for political effect and costless virtue signaling for a particularly receptive audience. And the political effect and size of that receptive audience is declining. Likewise, if they continue to discuss the lawfulness or morality (in the sense of political obligation) of a U.S. military coup to stop their political opponents (i.e, Trump) ... and if they hold these discussions in public, e.g., on a listserv that is publicly accessible, then they do not believe it is 1933, and they do not believe that they are living in a fascist dictatorship.

PS: If they hold U.S. citizenship and they also already hold citizenship in a foreign country (that is, other than the U.S.), have they explored to whom by marriage, birth, or otherwise they can legally share or transmit that foreign citizenship toor otherwise share the benefits and protections of such foreign citizenship? If the answer, is “no, they have not explored . . . ,” then . . . .

PPS: Have they made any efforts and encouraged family and friends to make some substantial efforts to learn a widely-spoken foreign language? If the answer, is “no, they have made no such efforts . . . ,” then . . . . 


Seth Barrett Tillman, They Say It Is 1933?,’ New Reform Club (Jan. 20, 2025, 3:36 AM), <https://tinyurl.com/zv5c2vcd>;


 

Sunday, January 19, 2025

Impeachable Offenses?

 


Is President BIDEN’s announcing that a proposed constitutional amendment is part of the actual Constitution when it has not been certified by those charged with doing so and announcing such contra his own Office of Legal Counsel’s advice, a lie? Is his announcement an impeachable offense?

If the Vice President and/or any federal statutory officers (e.g., members of the cabinet, etc) advised President BIDEN to take this course of action, does their advice subject them to impeachment, trial, conviction, removal, and/or disqualification?

If they are bar members, can they be sanctioned for offering negligent legal advice or for recklessly or knowingly giving advice to commit an illegal act?

Is this an opportunity for the U.S. House of Representatives to assert the controverted power of “late” impeachment—that is, impeaching a former federal (elected) official or former federal (appointed) officer? Or, must the House impeach BIDEN prior to the end of BIDEN’s term? And in regard to federal statutory officers, must the House impeach such officers while they remain in their position, but not afterwards?

If BIDEN actually believes that the proposed Equal Rights Amendment is part of the U.S. Constitution, should he not order the archivist to certify its ratification? Is BIDEN’s failure to order the archivist to certify the ERA and/or Biden’s failure to remove the archivist itself an impeachable offense for a failure to TAKE CARE that the law be faithfully executed? Take Care Clause, U.S. Const. Article II, Section 3.

 

Seth Barrett Tillman, Impeachable Offenses?,’ New Reform Club (Jan. 19, 2025, 4:24 AM), <https://reformclub.blogspot.com/2025/01/impeachable-offenses.html>; 


Friday, January 17, 2025

Professor Shugerman (et al) vs. Professor Prakash (et al)

 

 


 

          If you ask me about whether or not the President has an implied constitutionally-granted power to remove high-level Executive Branch officers subject to his (the President’s) appointment power, my answer is basically that I do not have a dog in that fight. Last August, in response to an inquiry by e-mail, I responded: “I have always avoided taking any position on this issue: [the scope of presidential] removal [powers]. I think [any interpreter taking a position] is at the far edge of the construction zone . . . where policy is driving legal conclusions. I do not think [the question] answerable as an originalist matter.”

Contra Tillman, Professor Shugerman and Professor Prakash do have positions on this issue.

Shugerman believes the answer is: No, the President has no such power impliedly granted by the Constitution. And Prakash believes: Yes, the President does have such a power. For the reasons I elaborated above and others, I am not going to judge between these two views, and I am not going to judge between these two academics. At least, between Shugerman and Prakash, I can honestly say that I am unbiased: Shugerman and Prakash have offered something less than effusive praise for my publications—as they are entirely entitled to do.

          But now something has changed. The terms of this debate, indeed, of legal academic debate, are being changed. Prakash et al wrote a 2023 Harvard Law Review article. See Aditya Bamzai & Saikrishna Bangalore Prakash, The Executive Power of Removal, 136 Harv. L. Rev. 1756 (2023), <https://harvardlawreview.org/print/vol-136/the-executive-power-of-removal/>. Prakash made certain arguments in support of his position—he relied on certain documents, and he put forward his interpretation of those documents. Shugerman has taken the position that Prakash has seriously erred—i.e., that Prakash’s interpretations have been wrong all along, and that he (Shugerman) has demonstrated that wrongness, and that Prakash has refused to retract or to sufficiently respond. For this alleged wrong, Shugerman put forward:

If “originalism” is a serious academic enterprise, are there any consequences for originalist scholarship that repeatedly misused, misrepresented, or made false claims about the historical record?

…. Is there accountability for originalists who make false historical claims?

Jed Shugerman, The Misuse of Ratification-Era Documents by Unitary Executive Theorists, Mich. J. L. Reform (2025) (last revised on SSRN on Jan. 10, 2025) (manuscript at 25), <https://ssrn.com/abstract=5070241>; id. at 1 (same).

          Let’s assume that Shugerman is correct, and that Prakash is wrong.

What does Shugerman have in mind by way of “accountability” where Prakash remains unmoved and unwilling to voluntarily concede error? What would Shugerman have third parties do? Should third parties convene a tribunal or board of inquiry? Who would be the judges? Would the finders-of-fact be generalists off the street or specialist academics, and if so, in what field(s)?

Moreover, what punishments would the tribunal be empowered to impose?

Assuming lethal injection and a custodial sentence are out, does Shugerman want to see Prakash “removed” from his academic post?

Should Prakash be held in stocks and forced to read Gienapp and Rakove?

Or Should Prakash be denied access to his university’s library and interlibrary loan service?

Or—God forbid—should Prakash be asked to suffer the Amy Wax treatment—i.e., denied teaching duties involving impressionable 1Ls?

          Is the punishment to be shunning by on-campus peers, or to be denied a spot, by distant faculty, at some off-campus conference?

          What does Shugerman mean by “accountability”?

          I am a traditionalist. Let me suggest that we stick with the traditional norm for legal academics. What is the norm? When Academic-A publishes an article, then Academic-B can write a response. If people are persuaded by Academic-B’s publication, then Academic-A’s reputation will take a hit. And that is “accountability.” Likewise, Academic-A can reply to Academic-B’s response. And that’s “accountability” too. Critics can be critiqued. A university built on free inquiry allows third parties to judge among publications, responses, and replies (and sometimes sur-replies)—along with the absence of such responses and replies. An interlocutor is not owed a response. Where an interlocutor writes a response, the initial proponent can reply or he can stand on his original publication. But the interlocutor is not owed a reply.

          Now you might say: Seth—why do you think that is the norm? The answer is tu quoque. Let me explain:

          In 2017, as briefing began involving litigation against Trump-45 based on the Foreign Emoluments Clause the Domestic (Presidential) Emoluments Clause, Professor Shugerman wrote an article appearing on Slate. He wrote:

Ultimately, the central piece of documentary evidence for this emoluments argument is a manuscript version of a 1792 document by Secretary of the Treasury Alexander Hamilton. That document omitted President George Washington from a list of “Persons Holding Civil Offices or Employments Under the United States.” Yet the same document, when it was actually printed in official records of the early U.S. government, listed the president and vice president under the heading of “persons holding civil offices or employments under the United States.” In every subsequent report of the Treasury Department listing the employees and offices “under the United States”—from Treasury Secretary Hamilton himself and his successors—the president is included . . . .

Jed Handelsman Shugerman & Ors, Presidential Revisionism, Slate (July 17, 2017, 5:42 PM), <http://tinyurl.com/y7qaabr4> (emphases added). Leaving aside Shugerman’s claims about the 1792 document and its subsequent reproduction, here, Shugerman is saying that there were other Treasury Department circulars—that is, “every subsequent report”—listing offices “under the United States.” Shugerman has this language in quotation marks. But he fails to identify any such documents using office “under the United States”-language. I put Shugerman et al on notice of my concerns long ago.

          To date, roughly eight years later . . .

·      Shugerman has not published copies of the documents he claimed existed in his 2017 Slate publication—nor has he privately sent me copies; 

·   Shugerman has not published full bibliographic information identifying where these documents can be foundnor has he privately sent me this information; 

      and, 

·   Shugerman has not published links to these documentsnor has he privately sent me such links.

My own belief is that, in 2017, Shugerman erred, and that no such documents exist. But he has not responded, and he has not retracted. And that is within norms. Indeed, I suggest that it is the norm.

Shugerman does not owe Slate, its readers, or me a reply regarding my critique—then or now. Why Shugerman has not responded is difficult to say. Perhaps he adheres to his original claims, and he leaves it to third parties (such as me) to go out and find the documents he claims exist. Or, maybe, he thinks the issue unimportant, and that his basic argument stands, even if this lone set of document-related claims fails. Or, perhaps, he is just too busy.

And the same applies to Prakash. Prakash does not owe the world and Shugerman a reply just because Shugerman is 101% sure Prakash is wrong. A failure to reply simply means that Shugerman gets the last word, and people have to decide who has the better argument.

Even now, at this late date, Shugerman might reply to my critique. But if he does so now, that is, some eight years after the fact, that is a tell. Moreover, the Foreign Emoluments Clause and the Domestic (Presidential) Emoluments Clause are likely to be in the news again very soon. Perhaps as early as Monday, January 20, 2025, at noon. Given that Shugerman’s Slate article is likely to be cited in renewed scholarship and renewed briefing, there is good reason for him to consider addressing the difficulties which I have flagged in this blog post. But “good reason” does not amount to an academic duty or other moral obligation. After all, if you are the sort who will rely on an article in Slate, absent footnotes and links justifying ambitious documentary claims, that is on you. What I can say is that if Shugerman revises his position in light of my critique, and he does so some eight years after the fact, that leaves Prakash with some time to reassess his position in a similar fashion. After all, Shugerman was responding to a 2023 Prakash publication in Harvard Law Review—so that leaves Prakash with a good seven years to decide what to do.

          Fair is fair.

 

Seth Barrett Tillman, ‘Professor Shugerman (et al) vs. Professor Prakash (et al),New Reform Club (Jan. 17, 2025, 9:28 AM), <https://reformclub.blogspot.com/2025/01/professor-shugerman-et-al-vs-professor.html>;


Seth Barrett Tillman, ‘Part II—Professor Shugerman (et al) vs. Professor Prakash (et al),’ New Reform Club (Jan. 21, 2025, 6:48 AM), <https://reformclub.blogspot.com/2025/01/part-iiprofessor-shugerman-et-al-vs.html>;

 

Wednesday, January 15, 2025

Recent Academic Writing on the End of the Rule of Law

 


 

[T]here are numerous other methods that Trump will likely deploy on day one of his new administration to immunize himself and punish those who attempt to hold him accountable. The two most important of these would be to appoint an attorney general who could be counted on to fire Special Counsel Jack Smith in an attempt to end the federal prosecutions. Without a special counsel protecting the criminal trials, Trump could then demand that the attorney general withdraw the federal government from the D.C. and the Florida indictments. Second, Trump may attempt to pardon himself for any federal crimes or commute any sentences he has received up to that point. Although it seems likely that both of these acts would constitute criminal obstruction of justice by the President, the Trump v. United States ruling could give Trump cover to do just that; according to the majority opinion, appointing and removing Justice Department officials is among his core constitutional powers to which absolute immunity attaches, and the same would be said for any exercise of the pardon power, given that it is an enumerated power under Article II.

It is not overly dramatic to say that should these events occur, it would signal the end of the rule of law with respect to the presidency . . . .

 

Claire Finkelstein & Richard Painter, When an Indicted Candidate wins the Presidency: What Happens to the Trials if Donald Trump Wins the Election?, S. Cal. L. Rev. Postscript 1, 4 (Oct. 2024), <https://tinyurl.com/yc49yy7x>.

Trump never had a chance to remove Special Counsel Jack Smith. Smith resigned days before Trump will take office. And before he left, Smith actively closed down the D.C. and Florida federal prosecutions. (Albeit, zombie-like, the Florida prosecution continuesagainst the non-Trump defendants.) If these things were wrongful for Trump to do, was it not also wrongful for Smith to do? And if so, do Finkelstein and Painter think Smith should be impeached for wrongdoing in office amounting to high crimes and misdemeanors? Or should Smith be indicted for criminal obstruction of justice? See, e.g., Claire O. Finkelstein & Richard W. Painter, “You’re Fired”: Criminal Use of Presidential Removal Power, 25 N.Y.U. J. Legis. & Pub. Pol’y 307 (2023), <https://scholarship.law.upenn.edu/faculty_articles/242/>.

One wonders.

Do these two legal academics believe that the rule of law in the United States is now at an “end … with respect to the presidency”?

One really wonders.

 

Seth Barrett Tillman, ‘Recent Academic Writing on the End of the Rule of Law,’ New Reform Club (Jan. 15, 2025, 4:43 AM), <https://reformclub.blogspot.com/2025/01/recent-academic-writing-on-end-of-rule.html>;

Sunday, January 12, 2025

A Short Note on John Merryman

 


 

An academic of note recently wrote on a listserv that John Merryman was a “terrorist”.

 

I wrote back as follows:

 

Dear Professor ABC,

[I]n 1861, no one knew where the battlefields would be. I did not write that Maryland was a battlefield, but that some of the state political authorities were seeking to avoid their state “being” a site of [future] battlefields. Many border states had citizens and politicians who wanted to do just that. It was quite rational to do so. Wanting to avoid such an outcome, that is, one’s state being a site of conflict, hardly is on-point with a criminal intent or terrorism.

You are constantly ratcheting up what counts as terrorism and what we know about John Merryman. Do you really believe that Merryman was “attempting to raise troops to fight the US” or even “attempting to raise [any] troops”? If you don’t believe that, why say it? Was the destruction of the bridge to inspire terror and fear amongst civilians? Or just to stop Union troops movements in Maryland? If the latter, that might be a crime, it might be a war crime, it might be treason, but terrorism? Really? I think terrorism is a term better reserved for Quantrill and his raiders, and those like them. Forrest may have been a terrorist, but he is probably better characterized as a war criminal for Fort Pillow. [Your] using the language of “terrorism” for Merryman drains “terrorism” of meaning. As I said, do White or McGinty [who are John Merryman’s recent biographers] use such language?

What we know about Merryman is quite ambiguous. See, e.g., ‘Merryman, John, of Hayfields,’ in 1 The Biographical Cyclopedia of Representative Men of Maryland and District of Columbia 312–313 (Baltimore, National Biographical Publishing Company 1879), <https://tinyurl.com/mtf43mbk> (explaining that shortly before Merryman’s seizure by the U.S. Army, Merryman “was introduced to [U.S.] Major Belger, and offered to render him or the [Union] troops any service required; and if necessary would slaughter his [Merryman’s] cattle to supply the[] [Union troops] with food.”). Do I know if what is reported here is true? No. I don’t. I do know that the [contemporaneous historical] record, as were the times, was quite messy, and although there were some figures who were singularly pure and others singularly evil, many were quite in-between. Merryman was one such figure. If burning a single privately owned bridge is terrorism, then Sherman and all his troops were pirates, along with virtually every other soldier on both sides. Who believes that?

Seth

Seth Barrett Tillman, A Short Note on John Merryman, New Reform Club (Jan. 12, 2025, 10:49 AM), <https://reformclub.blogspot.com/2025/01/a-short-note-on-john-merryman.html>; 


CALIFORNIA: POLITICAL ACCOUNTABILITY

 


LAs city council has 15 members. 14 of the 15 are Democrats. Apparently, the 15th is an independent.


<https://x.com/SethBTillman/status/1878284785715470787>; 

Seth Barrett Tillman, California: Political Accountability,’ New Reform Club (Jan. 12, 2025, 6:26 AM), <https://reformclub.blogspot.com/2025/01/california-political-accountability.html>;