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Monday, November 07, 2016

The Undecideds

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. SteinIBD/TIPP TrackingClinton 41, Trump 43, Johnson 6, Stein 2Trump +2
General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. SteinBloombergClinton 44, Trump 41, Johnson 4, Stein 2Clinton +3

In the first poll above, with Trump at +2%, 8% are undecided, in the second poll, with Clinton at +3%, 9%, are undecided.

For who will the undecideds vote? Is there a shy Tory/Wilder effect, or are enough Democratic votes already locked up, that even if there is a Wilder effect, it will be negated by the Democrats' better ground game?


Twitter: ( @SethBTillman ) 

My prior post: Seth Barrett Tillman, Why the Anti-Trump Commentariat are not Trusted, The New Reform Club (Nov. 7, 2016, 4:43 AM). [here]


Tom Van Dyke said...

It's Trump's lack of ground game that may be his undoing. Shooting off his mouth at Nuremburg-style rallies is the fun part, but fleas must take some actual interest in dogs.

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