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Monday, February 01, 2016

Democratic Party Iowa Vote Total: under 1,500 votes -- 1,500 votes -- 1,500 votes: Did the Democratic Party Just Implode in Iowa?

It is 10:15 pm in Iowa.

94% of the precincts have reported (for the Democrats). The Democratic Party vote is ... 660 votes for Clinton, and 649 votes for Sanders, with each candidate getting around 50% of the Democratic Party vote, and 21 convention delegates.

Between Sanders and Clinton, there are fewer than 1,500 votes.

1,500 votes.

1,500 votes.

1,500 votes.

By contrast, on the Republican side, (former) Senator Rick Santorum came in 10th, with 1% of the Republican field, and 1,666 votes -- more than Sanders and Clinton combined.

Likewise, on the Republican side, Senator Rand Paul came in 5th, with 4% of the Republican field, and 7,714 votes. Rand Paul has 4-times the combined vote of Sanders and Clinton.

Again, on the Republican side, Senator Ted Cruz, the winning Republican candidate has over 50,000 votes. This is 33-times the combined vote of Sanders and Clinton.

If these results are accurate, then the Democratic Party has imploded in Iowa.

In a footnote, to the reported results ... by the Democratic Party totals ... the Wall Street Journal reports: “The Iowa Democratic Party doesn’t report vote totals. Figures are state delegate equivalents, which are the estimated number of state convention delegates the candidates would receive based on caucus results. National convention delegates for Democratic candidates are estimates and may change at later stages of the selection process.”

So just how many caucus votes were cast on the Democratic Party side? 




Anonymous said...

The democrats aren't counting actual human votes, the votes are being tallied as state delegate equivalents or SDE's. So there's only about 1500 state delegate equivalents statewide. It's like electoral votes versus popular votes. Reagan got 523 votes or so.

Seth Barrett Tillman said...

You are correct. But to calculate SDEs--at some point--you have to count actual votes cast -- else there is no way to apportion the party delegates. Right? Also, this process leaves us no way to compare the number of votes cast in this primary with prior Iowa primaries on the Democratic Party side.

By contrast, the Republicans just report vote totals.

So again, we have a transparency problem.



Mike said...

"So again, we have a transparency problem. Why?"

A transparency problem regarding Dems and vote counts you say? And you wonder why? As they used to write in my old books, We will leave that as an exercise for the reader. :-D

Tom Van Dyke said...

Des Moines Register calls for audit of Iowa results: 'Something smells in the Democratic Party'

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