Hugh Hewitt astounded me with his consistent confidence that Bush would beat Kerry more easily than expected.
Here's his latest and my usual pessimism is rebelling:
The presidents' opponents have been declaring him down and out since the fall of '00. Keep the clippings handy for election night '06.
I hope he's right and I'm wrong. I'm expecting an election night more like the disappointment of 1998.
3 comments:
Well, Hunter, I'm sure that in your heart of hearts you know that it's too early to make any meaningful predictions about November 2006. However, if we're going to play that game, I do agree that the situation in Iraq (and Afghanistan) will be overriding factors.
It might have been Dick Morris who said that the side that believes in America, that offers a positive vision of where we are and where we're going, wins.
Bill Clinton won 1992 on "The Man from Hope" riff.
In 1998, the GOP was the negative party, excoriating Clinton on his foibles. They were rewarded with electoral reverses.
(IMO, they deserved them. The Lewinsky affair was crap, and to compromise the integrity of the republic over such a minor matter was partisan BS.)
I'm encouraged that only the Demo base blames Bush for the governmental inefficency surrounding Katrina, and that the 72% of black Americans who hold it against him are the 72% who are staunchly Democrat. The 24/7 CNN/MSM assault on Bush seems to be water off the duck's back.
Afghanistan is going pretty well by historical standards, and the scale of massacre of everyday Muslims in Iraq dwarfs the "resistance" against the coalition forces.
Iraq is a lousy place, and the Forces of Decency (us) actually get more respect than the various scum who are killed and do the killing there.
Better that Saddam and his lovely sons Uday and Attila were still in power there?
Mebbe, but it's a coinflip in practical terms and a nobrainer in moral ones.
Well, like my Mom always said: "If you can't hack it, hew it."
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