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Tuesday, October 19, 2004

The Kerry Polling Comeback Conspiracy

A number of weblogs have gone on record with the idea that pollsters showed an excessive Bush lead in September in order to set the stage for a major Kerry comeback in October. My own sense is that the theory is bunk. Large leads for Bush in September would have made fundraising more difficult for Kerry. More importantly, the Bush lead actually set the stage for a knockout punch with the first debate. Had the President been as good in debate one as he was in debate three, he might have disposed of Kerry permanently. It's highly unlikely any conspiracy of media and liberal politicos would have cooked up such a risky scenario for New England's most liberal Senator.

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